Saturday, June 23, 2007

The Southern Hemisphere and temperature. What crisis?

I believe that the moment is near when by a procedure of active paranoiac thought, it will be possible to systematize confusion and contribute to the total discrediting of the world of reality.

Salvador Dali

It is now the post industrial information age. Each day we experience data transformed in both electronic visual and print mediums to our senses and perceptions. The data transcends both virtuality and reality. The convergence of reality and virtuality in News and entertainment, with science and controversy, with chaos and catastrophe, and the transformation of the delivery of data along the various modes of information have resulted in uncertainty and confusion.

Indeed how can it be expected to identify reality, when there are difficulties of distinction between reality and the unreal when the unreal is being realized, and the real being shown as unreal. Each day we experience a growing crisis of unrealized proportions .As Umberto Eco observed “crisis sells well” The question such crisis pose is whether attitudes have been undermined by the experience of modernity, or whether reality itself, something objective and firm, is an illusion .Is the paradigm now one of “there is no reality?” When the media, governments, and advertisers tell us that dreams are becoming realities, does this mean conversely, reality is becoming a dream?

Since the release of the IPCC “outlook we have been inundated with catastrophic and cataclysmic predictions of heat and extreme temperatures, rapid ice melt,and sea level rises.

If the reality of the data interpretation was correct we would expect to see more warm anomalies then usual!.

Using the temperature anomalies from the HADCRU dataset of the monthly anomalies (variance of the 150 year running mean) I plotted the anomalies as seen and show the linear trend for the Southern Hemisphere.

As the SH has more cooler anomalies then warm, there is no rational evidence of cataclysmic crisis observable, even using the HADCRU laundered datasets.


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